TheYankeesBlog.com

March 17, 2008

Potential X-Factor: Scott Patterson

Filed under: Potential X-Factors — jeepsunday @ 12:05 am

It is no secret that the Yankees bullpen has been shaky the last few seasons. With the exception of Joba “rules” Chamberlain, there has been no one solid player that could be counted on EVERY time he got the ball .Guys like Kyle Farsworth and Mike Myers were thrown into the mix here and there, but never seemed to have the confidence to close the door on a regular basis.

In closely watching the 2008 spring training games, I have been captivated by Scott Patterson (#70). He seems to be very consistent when brought into high pressure situations. When Chien Ming Wang got roughed up in today’s game by the Cleveland Indians, Patterson came in and “Stopped the bleeding” so to speak. He was flawless for 1.2 innings, giving up not one hit to the young and tough Cleveland team. This isn’t the first time he has come through this year….

The fact is we need guys like Patterson to come to the big dance in New York. He has a deceiving delivery – it’s very unique, and will take him, and the team very far this year if he is given the chance…. I see this guy stepping into the role vacated by Scott Proctor last year (before he was overworked and thrown out like the trash-wasn’t nice how THAT was handled!) Patterson will be fun to watch – he’s in his late 20s and can have a nice lenghty run with the Yankees if he continues to pitch well….

February 9, 2008

Potential X-Factor: Juan Miranda

Filed under: Potential X-Factors — johnbutchko @ 7:44 pm

The Yankees are a star-studded team, but a lot of their 2008 success will depend on how a number of lesser known players develop. Before the season begins, this blog will profile some of these players and discuss how the team will need them to develop. Today’s player is Juan Miranda.

Miranda is a 24 year old Cuban defector, although some claim to have proof that his age is closer to 26. The first baseman signed a 4 year, $2 million contract in December 2006. He started the year with A Tampa and finished with AA Trenton. In 446 combined at bats, Miranda hit .265 with 16 homers, 96 RBI’s, a .350 on base percentage, and a .471 slugging percentage. This is pretty impressive when one considers his .238/.292/.321 April. As the season went on, he got better. The slow start was likely a result of rust as Miranda had a 2 year layoff while settling immigration issues. As he got back into the swing of things, he began to look more and more like the player the Yanks thought they were getting. He went on to post a .975 OPS in the Arizona Fall League, indicating he could be close to ready for the Majors.

Miranda has a terrific eye at the plate and power to all fields. He hit over .300 in his time in Cuba. As he gets more acclimated to American pitching, his batting average could rise. At this point, he is comparable to a lefty hitting Shelley Duncan. His lack of defensive skills at first base suggests that his best position is DH. Like Duncan, he appears to be a platoon option right now. He hit under .200 against lefty pitching in 2007 and over .270 against righties. His slugging was also 50 points better against righties. Miranda is a difficult player to project for the future. There is a chance that as he gets his timing back after his long layoff, he will improve across the board and become a viable everyday player. There is also the chance that he is really 26 and his development is finished. Any success under this scenario would be the result of beating up against younger and less experienced competition on the minor league level.

Miranda will have a chance to win the first base job out of Spring Training. Although his fielding leaves much to be desired, he will be one of the few natural first basemen in camp. At this point, his competition will come from a pair of third basemen in Morgan Ensberg and Wilson Betemit and a pair of designated hitters in Jason Giambi and Shelley Duncan. With the position in a state of flux, the Yanks would love for Miranda to emerge as an everyday solution. If he does not make the team, Miranda will remain on speed dial and likely will get a chance if the starters do not perform early. With Jason Giambi and Hideki Matsui both injury-prone, Juan also could get a callup as either a bat off the bench or a potential platoon partner with Duncan at DH. Miranda is likely to play some role in this team’s season. He might be an unlikely hero in 2008.

January 23, 2008

Potential X-Factor: Brett Gardner

Filed under: Potential X-Factors — johnbutchko @ 4:50 pm

The Yankees are a star-studded team, but a lot of their 2008 success will depend on how a number of lesser known players develop. Before the season begins, this blog will profile some of these players and discuss how the team will need them to develop. Today’s player is Brett Gardner.

Brett Gardner figures to begin 2008 playing centerfield for Scranton. While his utter lack of power keeps him from being mentioned in the same light as Jose Tabata or Austin Jackson, Gardner is a legitimate prospect. At worst, he will probably be a useful bench player. At his best, he will be a decent leadoff hitter and centerfielder.

Gardner has a .288 career batting average and a .381 on base percentage in the minors. Those numbers were .300 and .392 respectively last season in 203 at bats at AA Trenton and a pedestrian .260 and .343 in 181 at bats for AAA Scranton. He proceeded to tear up the Arizona Fall League with a .343 average and a .433 on base percentage, suggesting he is close to being ready for the Majors. With a minor league slugging percentage of .374, he has little pop, but his eye could make him a useful bench player or even a cheap centerfield option if Melky Cabrera gets traded for Johan Santana. There are concerns over holes in his swing as he has 211 strikeouts in 1,107 at bats. How much his contact rates improve will probably determine how good he becomes.

Gardner has terrific speed, which translates really well on defense. His range in center is second to none within the organization. He also has used this speed to steal 114 bases in his minor league career in 136 attempts. This is where his primary value will probably lie for the Yankees at least in 2008.

Gardner probably will spend most of the season in Scranton. The Yankees already have four high quality outfielders, and Shelley Duncan can play there in an emergency. Brett might not be a major prospect, but it would be best for his development if he got to play on an everyday basis. During critical games in September and October, he could become a factor.

It has been a while since this team had a legitimate stolen base threat off the bench.  It is a big weapon to have in tight games. Dave Roberts in the 2004 ALCS is the most famous example. The ability to get a runner into scoring position without giving up an out can be the difference between winning and losing. With a lineup as powerful as the Yankees have, an extra hitter to the plate with somebody in scoring position means an good chance to score. Gardner’s work as a pinch runner could give this team that extra opportunity in a big game.

January 21, 2008

Potential X-Factor: Wilson Betemit

Filed under: Potential X-Factors — johnbutchko @ 2:50 pm

The Yankees are a star-studded team, but a lot of their 2008 success will depend on how a number of lesser known players develop. Before the season begins, this blog will profile some of these players and discuss how the team will need them to develop. Today’s player is Wilson Betemit.

Betemit is a familiar name to Yankees fans. He came to the team at the 2007 Trade Deadline from the Dodgers. New York sent Scott Proctor back to his original team in exchange. For the last two months of 2007, the switch hitter served as New York’s utility infielder and saw time at all four infield positions.

Betemit began his career as a highly touted shortstop prospect for the Braves. Eventually he put on too much weight, which cut down on his range. He can still play shortstop adequately over a short term, but he is not a great option for the long haul. He also never hit enough upon reaching the Majors to capture an everyday role. His .260/.332/.439 (BA/OPS/SLG) career numbers are very good for a bench player, and his athleticism have allowed him to move all over the infield.

After letting Andy Phillips and Doug Mientkiewicz walk, the Yankees will presumably give Betemit significant playing time at first base in 2008 at least as part of a platoon. His career stats make him a very viable bottom of the order hitter for a team loaded with offense. His .277/.355/.486 splits while batting lefty since 2005 make him an excellent option as part of a platoon with a lefty pitching masher like Shelley Duncan. At 26 years old, Wilson still has time to develop and could hit enough to become a quality everyday player.

The issue with Betemit at first base will not be his hitting. The Yankees should expect decent production, but there is enough offensive talent to carry a subpar hitter at the bottom. Betemit’s defense at first will be very important to the team. Phillips and Mientkiewicz were both superb in the field. Their departures leave the Yanks with Betemit and a pair of players whose defensive skills suggest their best position is DH, Jason Giambi and Shelley Duncan, to man first base.

With a pair of sinkerballers, Andy Pettitte and Chien-Ming Wang, at the top of the rotation, infield defense will be very important for the Yankees. A good first baseman must not only have good range but also great hands to save errors on bad throws. In late inning situations, defense also becomes critical as one bad play can cost a team a game. Many experts believe that shortstops have the tools to excel anywhere on the field. Betemit has shortstop range from his time there and the soft hands and reflexes necessary to handle bad throws. He will need to work strenuously with Tino Martinez in Spring Training to learn the intricacies of the position.

If Betemit can turn himself into a defensive ace, the Yankees can go into 2008 feeling good about their infield. They will not have to fret every grounder in critical situations and can save runs defensively. If Betemit cannot, the defense could cost this team games or force the team to waste a roster spot on an all glove, no hit player. First base defense might not be important relative to other positions, but every game will matter in what should be a tight pennant race in a loaded American League  His comfort level at first base could be the difference between postseason and an empty October schedule.

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